Monthly Archives: October 2016

Melbourne Cup 2016 – Analysis and Tips

MY ANALYSIS & TIPS FOR THE 2016 MELBOURNE CUP
by Kessy Sawang

1. HISTORY

First, let’s visit history as it does repeat itself:

AGE: 4-6 year olds have most winnings. Last 10 years, six 6 year olds (60%) and 40% below 6 years have won the Melbourne Cup. In 153 races, only 12 horses that are 7 year old + have won.

WEIGHT: Heavy weights don’t do well. Winning weight average 53 – 54 kg.

BARRIER: Most successful 9 – 12, with eight victories from 2006 – 2015.

SEX: Stallions hold the record. The last mare (female horse) to win the race was Makybe Diva (2003 – 2005). No more since.

LOCAL OR INTERNATIONAL: Melbourne Cup is now dominated by international horses. Only internationals that have Australian trainers and starts (or ran in races in Australia) before the cup has won.

LEAD-UP RACES: Horses who have won or had placings in Australian lead-up races have won most times.

The 2016 Melbourne Cup again has a large contingent of international arrivals. I’m keen on those that had Aussie starts.

melbourne-cup

2. ANALYSIS

H = Horse (male horse), G = Gelding (a castrated male horse), M = Mare

Elimination 1 – Age: #3 Curren Mirotic (9yoG), #7 Who Shot The Barman (8yoG), #8 Wicklow Brave (8yoG), #14 Sir John Hawkwood (8yoG) – will not win.

Some of these 7 year olds may win or get a place: #2 Our Ivanhoe (7yoH), #9 Almoonqith (7yoH), #11 Grand Marshal (7yoG), #13 Heartbreak City (7yoG), #15 Excess knowledge (7yoH), #17 Almandin (7yoG), #21 Secret Number (7yoG), #23 Qewy (7yoG) an #24 Rose of Virginia (7yoM).

Elimination 2 – Weight: Horses No 1 to 8 have 56 and 57 kilos. They may get placing. In the past 21 years, only one horse has carried 56.5 kilos to victory. 7 of the past 21 cup winners carried 52.5 kgs or less. 2015 winner Prince of Penzance carried 53 kgs.

Elimination 3 – International Who Don’t Have Australian Start: #3 Curren Mirotic, #8 Wicklow Brave, #13 Heartbreak City, #16 Beautiful Romance, #21 Secret Number.

Internationals who ran 2015 MC but did not have Aussie start 2016: #1 Big Orange (ran 5th in 2015 Melbourne Cup), #4 Bondi Beach (16/24 in 2015 MC).

All other internationals ran in lead-up races in Australia and trained by local trainers.

Elimination 4 – Sex: #16 Beautiful Romance, #24 Rose of Virginia – eliminate. Except #12 Jameka’s smashing victory in the Caulfield Cup, Naturalism Stakes, and 2nd in Turnbull Stakes, 4th in ATC Oaks, 2nd in ATC Derby, 3rd in Rosehill Guineas deserves respect for placing.

The above eliminations leaves us with 4 horses. Let us consider them before we go to the Lead Up Races Statistics. #10 Gallante, #18 Assign, #19 Grey Lion and #20 Oceanographer.

#10 Gallante – Winner of 3200m (same distance) Sydney Cup in April. Ran second to Jameka in Naturalism Stakes (September) but did poorly in Moonee Valley Cup (7th to winner Grand Marshal). This is too competitive. Prepared to leave him out.

#18 Assign – winner of Victoria Cup and Herbet Power Stakes. Untested distance. Prepared to leave him out.

#19 Grey Lion – Import. First attempt Geelong Cup (2400m). I watched the Geelong Cup replay twice and I’m convinced by the horse that came from second last to finish third (Oceanographer). Untested distance. Rises in class. Eliminate.

Last Remaining Horse: #20 OCEANOGRAPHER

The last standing from the eliminations is Horse No. 20 Oceanographer. British import and his first Australian start was the 2400 Geelong Cup (19/10/16). Came from second last to finish very strong third. Then he came from second last to win the 2016 Lexus Stakes. Geelong Cup and Lexus stake are good guides and lead-up races to the Melbourne Cup.

Age / Sex = 5 yo G; Weight 52 kg; Barrier 11 (perfect)

My top pick is therefore #20 – Oceanographer.

HORSES WITH GOOD LEAD UP RACES WHO CAN WIN OR PLACE:

#17 Almandin – smashing and very impressive winner of Henry White Stakes (2400m) and Bart Cummings Cup (2500m) with 2 lengths and 1.5 lengths, respectively. Another import trained by Robert Hickmott. To be ridden by top Jockey Kerrin McEvoy. Carrying perfect weight of 52kgs. Concern is the wide barrier (17), untried at this distance and being 7yo. I think he can place or win.

#11 Grand Marshall – winner of Moonee Valley Cup (2500) and 3rd placing in 3200 Sydney Cup. He can place. He’s my longshot.

#06 Hartnell – smashing and very impressive Turnbull Stakes (2000m) winner (by 3.25L to Jameka), Hill Stakes (2000m) winner (by 5.8L to Who Shot The Barman), Chemsford Stakes (1600m) winner (by 7.8L to Grand Marshal) and ran 2nd to Winx (by 3.5L) in Warwick Stakes. He was defeated to second place by mighty Winx by 8L in the 2016 Cox Plate. Hartnell, trained by John O’Shea will be ridden by another great jockey James McDonald. From a perfect barrier (12) and having won at this distance, Hartnell can win the 2016 Melbourne Cup.

#1 Big Orange – ran 5th last year MC, started from barrier 23 and carried 55.5kg. Led at start and dropped. Did not have Aussie start. After the MC, went on to win the Prince of Wales Stakes (2414m) in UK in July. I’m tipping him to finish in the top 4, even though he is heavy weight for this reason: In July, He won the Goodwood Cup (3219m) carrying 61 kg in a time of 3.24.93 by 1.3L to his nearest rivals. He is now carrying 57 kg and runs from a good barrier 7. Prince of Penzance won the 2015 MC in a time of 3.23.15 carrying 53 kg. I think Big Orange has returned a matured horse now and can win the Melbourne Cup.

#12 Jameka – speed star, very impressive Caulfield Cup winner by 3L, from wide barrier 13. Now has insider barrier (3). Ran second to Hartnell in the Turnbull Stakes (beaten by 3.25L) and won the Naturalism Stakes by 3.75L from Gallante. Will Jameka break the drought and win the 2016 Melbourne Cup? My only concern is she is untried at this distance and may run out of fuel.

3. PICKS FOR 2016 MELBOURNE CUP – THESE 6 HORSES COULD WIN OR PLACE

Top pick: #20 – Oceanographer
Then: #01 – Big Orange
#06 – Hartnell
#11 – Grand Marshal (long shot)
#17 – Almandin
#12 – Jameka
HAPPY PUNTING – AT YOUR OWN RISK!

Disclaimer: I bear no responsibility for your loss if one of the above 6 horses don’t win or get a pIacing.

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Manus Island, Nauru refugees to be banned from entering Australia, Malcolm Turnbull says

ABC NEWS

BY POLITICAL REPORTER DAN CONIFER UPDATED SUN OCT 37:52 EST 2016


– Malcolm Turnbull says asylum seekers arriving illegally by boat will never settle in this country-

The Federal Government will soon move to ban refugees and asylum seekers on Manus Island and Nauru from ever coming to Australia, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull says.

Key points:

○ Law would cover those who tried to  reach Australia by boat from mid-July 2013

○ It would block them from obtaining any visa

○ Refugee advocates fear policy will  “push people over the edge”
The new law would cover those who tried to reach Australia by boat from mid-July 2013, and would block them from obtaining any visa, including tourist and business visas.
Mr Turnbull said the legislation would send a clear message.
“This will send the strongest possible signal to the people smugglers … It is incredibly important that we send the clearest message,” Mr Turnbull told a press conference this morning.
“They must know that the door to Australia is closed to those who seek to come here by boat with a people smuggler. It is closed.
“Those passengers will never settle in this country.”
The legislation would also apply to people previously held on the Pacific islands but who have since left, including people transferred to Cambodia as part of a $55 million deal.
People who arrived on Manus Island or Nauru as children would be exempt.
Despite the new law, the Immigration Minister would still have discretion to let people into Australia.
Making the law retrospective means it can be used on the nearly 1,300 people who are currently on Manus Island and Nauru.
Seventy-two per cent of those who have been through the camps have been assessed as being genuine refugees, according to the latest Operation Sovereign Borders press release.
‘Government takes cues from One Nation’: Hanson
One Nation leader Pauline Hanson welcomed the policy, declaring on Twitter that it was “good to see that it looks like the Government is now taking its cues from One Nation. Just like last time”.
But the Opposition accused the Government of making the announcement as a distraction.
“It’s a distraction from Peter Dutton’s hopeless mismanagement of his portfolio,” Deputy Opposition Leader Tanya Plibersek said.
“It is extraordinary that three years on, this Government has not found third countries to resettle those people who are in limbo on Manus Island or Nauru.
“It’s time Peter Dutton started doing his job and finding a permanent resettlement option for these people.”
Labor MP Andrew Giles asked on Twitter: “What sort of government looks to punish vulnerable people who’ve sought our help?”
“What is the point of this if the Govt’s turn back policy is working? What is this cruel law really about?” Tasmanian Labor senator Lisa Singh tweeted.
Greens’ immigration spokesman Nick McKim said Mr Turnbull’s policy was a “desperate attempt to reabsorb the votes from Pauline Hanson’s One Nation Party”.
“Supporting this policy will mean innocent men women and children will be punished for doing nothing wrong,” he said.
Refugee advocates said the plan was unacceptable.
Lawyer David Manne, from the Refugee and Immigration Legal Centre, said the move, expected to be introduced into Parliament next month, would punish refugees.
“The majority of these people are refugees, and the policy is rapidly destroying them,” he said.
“This does nothing to address that fundamental question about where they are going to be taken so that they can rebuild their lives in safety and with dignity.”
Save the Children said the decision would also cruel the chances of many refugees from reuniting with their families who are already in Australia.
“We know from our past experience working on Nauru that these kinds of announcements can lead to significant unrest and despair among the refugees and asylum seekers who are barely hanging on after spending, in many cases, over three years living in limbo,” Director of Policy and Public Advocacy Mat Tinkler said.
“Without offering these children and their families a realistic, humane and viable resettlement option, the Australian Government is only further exacerbating the mental anguish and loss of hope that we have seen build on both Nauru and Manus.
“We have grave concerns that this kind of announcement will push people over the edge.”

12 Engans Students depart for Israel

By:Mek Kamongmenan

The Governor for Enga, Grand Chief Sir Peter Ipatas, KBE GCL farewelled the 12 pioneering Enga Students who will be undertaking 3 months of Intensive Agriculture Training in Israel at a small but very significant ceremony in Port Moresby last month.

This training is a component of the EPG Israeli Partnership in developing a Nucleus Agricultural Project in Sirunki to promote the growth and investment in the Agriculture sector in the Enga Province where 12 students from Enga will attend the program annually.

The students today were issued travel gears, travel documents and also signed a Code of Conduct and Training Agreements in the presence of Sir Peter Ipatas and Ms. Gallit Tamir of IAI Limited, the Israeli parrtner in the project.

Upon complettion of the training, the students will return to Sirunki to work as extension officers providing technical support to the 350 local households that will be engaged to develop nucleus farms to support the Sirunki project initially. The number of households is expected to grow as the facility expands.

In his farewell speech, Sir Peter urged the students to use the opportunity to study hard and learn well so that they can return to serve their people, province and country.

Sir Peter advised the students that the province was investing in the agriculture sector as the vehicle to drive economic development, create wealth and empower our rural people. He challenged the students as pioneers to not only learn well but to be good ambassodors of our province and country.

A big thank you to the many development partners and corporate entities that assisted in Cash and Kind in supporting the students travel to Israel;

1. The Innovative Agro Industry Limited;

2. The EPG through the The Enga Children’s Fund Trust;

3. The Israeli Government and Embassy in Canberra;

4. Mapai Transport Limited.

5. SP Brewery Limited

6. Oil Search Limited

7. Dunlop (PNG) Limited

8. CPL Group of Companies

9. B Mobile Vodafone

10. Waterfront Homewares

11. Wantok Retailers

12. Digicel (PNG) Limited

Thank you also to all those involved in working on this initiative, John Iso, Margaret Potane, Dorothy Kukum, Julie Yalo and Ronnie Tirone in Wabag and Gallit Tamir, Lawrence Martin, Hubert Warupi and Ephata Samuel in Port Moresby.

Let us all wish them well!!!

Sourced from Brain Tokenda-Surunki Tange Connect of Facebook by 5:45pm 17/09/2016.

NRL Bulldogs Club Gives back to New Ireland Communities

A partnership between New Ireland Province and Bulldogs NRL Club has enabled communities to share skills and knowledge of the game.

Members of the club have been visiting the province for the last four years during their breaks from the NRL season.

Steve Pike, Manager for Education and Welfare told EMTV News that they are very happy to return back to the communities in New Ireland, as the province of choice in Papua New Guinea.

“All the players, who have been here have always commented, saying that they have found it to be a fulfilling experience, something very different, meeting different people with different cultures, lovely people and their smiling faces, and just seeing a different lifestyle that is not like in Australia,” he said.

Jamie Feeney, a former Bulldogs player and now New South Wales Rugby league Performance Program Manager also shared same sentiments.

“Over the last couple of days, we have gone out to schools, visiting them and their communities. During our visits we have handed down many bulldogs gear and spread the word of rugby league in a country that really does understand rugby league,”

One of the recipients is the Nehemiah Christian School in Kaplaman village.

http://www.emtv.com.pg/news/2016/10/nrl-bulldogs-club-gives-back-to-new-ireland-communities/


Gorvenor General Michael Ogio was Medevac to Brisbane Hospital

By Calvin Casper -NBC News
Governor General Sir Michael Ogio was medevacked to Brisbane, Australia, to receive urgent medical treatment.
In a statement, the Government House confirmed the Grand Chief was taken to Pacific International Hospital on Wednesday this week and underwent regular medical checks.


However, his condition deteriorated and was admitted at the hospital’s intensive care unit.
Sir Michael was administered blood transfusion to stabilize his condition.
The vice regal had undergone a coronary heart bypass surgery in Singapore in November, last year.
He has developed serious complications that warrant urgent medical treatment that is not available in the country.
By midnight last night, the Governor General’s condition had stabilized and was medevacked to Brisbane, Australia, this morning.

We are Briding the Missing links: PM O’Neill

Prime Minister, Hon. Peter O’Neill CMG MP, highlighted that the current Government is connecting missing links in transport infrastructure throughout the country enabling service delivery into rural areas to be delivered more efficiently.

He made this remarks when addressing the Consultative Implementation and Monitoring Council (CIMC) forum this morning in Port Moresby.


“We are bridging all the missing links throughout the country and connecting them to highways so that people can have better services and quality life,” said PM Peter O’Neill.
“Roads are the key to economic development in a country like ours and the Government has spent millions of kinas every year to ensure that large number of population access this vital service.
“There are many road links being built during this term of the Government and it is evident throughout the country where people can see for themselves.
“In places like the Gulf Highway and the Highway from Morobe province into Kikori, where it is nearing completion that we will see more trade and the flow of goods and services.
“This has been lacking in past decades.
The Prime Minister also made it clear that Government is careful when planning and building road networks so that so that new projects benefit the vast majority of the population.
“It is pointless for me to build a four lane highway in my district in Ialibu Pangia for example, because there is no demand and it does not make any economic sense,” he said.
“People might have doubts about infrastructure spending, particularly in the larger cities, but we must invest so that we can move our country forward.
“We are focusing on locations where population growth is taking place and business activity has the potential to increase.
“That way we can make receive maximum value of such infrastructure,” said the PM.
“The Government is fulfilling its promise in key priority areas and have achieved so much in a short span of time where people can see for themselves.
“Once the entire road network throughout the country opens up, service delivery will reach many remote areas and people will appreciate that the Government has not forgotten them.”

Brett Goshen is new CEO for Digicel PNG

Digicel is delighted to announce the appointment of Brett Goschen, in the role of Chief Executive Officer, Digicel PNG Limited.

As CEO, Brett is responsible for all three of Digicel’s Papua New Guinean business units; Digicel Prepaid Consumer, Digicel Business and new and growing Media Business (Digicel Play and http://www.looppng.com).

Bringing with him a wealth of experience in the communications and entertainment industries, Brett has previously held CFO and CEO positions with the MTN Group in South Africa, Nigeria and Ghana as well as the role of Managing Director with Altech Autopage Cellular.BGoschen.jpg

Brett will be building on the great foundations established by Maurice McCarthy who, after 8 years with Digicel, has plans to move on to a new opportunity. Maurice will be staying with the organization until early 2017, ensuring a seamless handover to Brett.

Brett expressed his pleasure at joining Digicel Papua New Guinea.

“Digicel is a fantastic organisation and leader in its field and I look forward to contributing to the achievements of this already very successful and innovative company,” he said.

“I have been overwhelmed by the warm and friendly hospitality I have been shown here by those at work and in the community and I am looking forward to working in such a rich culturally diverse work environment.”

Brett also took the opportunity to outline four key areas that he will ensures Digicel focuses on moving forward; customer experience, responsibility, inclusiveness and innovation.

“Our success is driven by the custom we receive from our customers; they deserve the best of class experience across all touchpoints,” he said.

Brett also highlighted the important responsibility that Digicel has to the local communities and committed to continuing to grow the Digicel Foundation.

“Our future success is also very much dependent on the success of the communities in which we operate. It is thus very important for us as a business to contribute to their socio economic development.”

“The Digicel Foundation is a testimony to where the heart of our business is: it is in the communities that we operate in.”

Digicel Asia Pacific Regional CEO, Michael Murphy, extended a warm welcome to Brett and his wife on behalf of the company’s entire management team and said the group was excited to have someone with immense telecommunications experience onboard.

“Brett has the broad knowledge and wisdom that is required of a CEO and that comes only after many years of experience in the industry,” he said.

“His expertise in turning challenging emerging market environments in Nigeria into successes will be a tremendous benefit to Digicel in Papua New Guinea in the years ahead.

“We are delighted that Brett and his wife Kim have joined Digicel at this exciting juncture as we approach 10 years in PNG and I know they will settle very quickly living and working in Port Moresby.”

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